The New Zealand Herald has published an opinion piece by Richard Prebble that asserts that “It is likely that National candidates in Nelson, Te Atatū and Mt Albert who narrowly lost after the special vote count won more valid votes.
Nov 16, 2023·edited Nov 16, 2023Liked by Graeme Edgeler
A lot of good points. But might Prebble be right about the possibility of a switch in the Tamaki Makaurau result, if a petition were mounted? And that does affect the size of Parliament.
Absolutely. It is possible that that single electorate of the five he mentions as likely going the other way if properly counted could actually change the size of Parliament, but even if it did, his conclusion that National + ACT could govern alone is still mistaken. ACT has 11 MPs, National 48, and 49 once the Port Waikato by-election happens. That's not nearly enough in a 122 MP Parliament. It wouldn't even be enough in a 120 MP Parliament.
I really do think that what Prebble has done is extrapolated from a memory of the Creech v Boorman case and forgotten or ignored all of the changes that have happened since then.
Also, thank you so much for commenting. A much appreciated and very auspicious start my this platform to have a comment from Jack Vowles!
A lot of good points. But might Prebble be right about the possibility of a switch in the Tamaki Makaurau result, if a petition were mounted? And that does affect the size of Parliament.
Absolutely. It is possible that that single electorate of the five he mentions as likely going the other way if properly counted could actually change the size of Parliament, but even if it did, his conclusion that National + ACT could govern alone is still mistaken. ACT has 11 MPs, National 48, and 49 once the Port Waikato by-election happens. That's not nearly enough in a 122 MP Parliament. It wouldn't even be enough in a 120 MP Parliament.
I really do think that what Prebble has done is extrapolated from a memory of the Creech v Boorman case and forgotten or ignored all of the changes that have happened since then.
Also, thank you so much for commenting. A much appreciated and very auspicious start my this platform to have a comment from Jack Vowles!